Russia-Ukraine: The Russian defense ministry confirmed
that it had ordered new military exercises in the regions of Belgorod
and Kursk, which are near the border of eastern Ukraine. The exercises
are to continue until the end of March.
"The main aim... is a multi-faceted check of the units' cohesiveness
followed by the performance of battle training assignments in unfamiliar
terrain and untested firing ranges," the defense ministry said..
Belarus: The government in Minsk confirmed that it
requested Russia to deploy extra fighter jets and military transport
aircraft to Belarus.The request was in reaction to US/NATO reinforcement
of Poland. Russia sent six Su-27 fighters and three transport aircraft.
Comment: The new exercises look like a cover
for real preparations for an incursion. The Russian announcement stated
that a limited number of men plus artillery and rocket launchers were
involved in the exercises. However, local bloggers have posted to the
web images of at least a battalion of Russian tanks unloading from rail
cars, which the Russiansneglected to mention.
Russia apparently has not made the final decision to occupy additional
portions of eastern Ukraine, but President Putin soon will have that
option readily available.
Ukraine: A Ukrainian news outlet posted a report on 13
March that three people were killed during clashes between pro-Russian
and pro-Ukrainian groups on Thursday evening in Donetsk, in eastern
Ukraine. The leader of the right-wing, anti-Russian Svoboda party in
Donetsk called for an investigation into police inaction and called for
local police chiefs to be fired.
Comment: Such clashes strenghten the Russian case for intervention.