Earlier this year, private intelligence firm Strategic Forecasting, or Stratfor, published its Decade Forecast, in which it projects the next 10 years of global political and economic developments.
While international analysts often try their hand at predicting the major events of the coming year, Stratfor believes that it's identified the major trends of the next 10.
In many ways, Stratfor thinks the world a decade from now will be more dangerous place, with US power waning and other prominent countries experiencing a period of chaos and decline.
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To predict that a trend will continue -- weathermen call it the Persistence Theory of Meteorology -- is considered "safe" by the great majority of forecasters. But always remember that the longer a trend has lasted, the more likely it is to end soon (and possibly quite convulsively). "Trees do not grow to the sky." -- Baron Philippe de Rothschild
ReplyDelete"Trees do not grow to the sky." -- Baron Philippe de Rothschild
DeleteHadn't heard that. Thanks.