So let me get this straight: Mitt Romney leads among independents, leads
with middle-class households by double digits, leads with likely voters
on six of seven issues (including large advantages on jobs, spending
and the economy), and holds an eight-point edge with the bellwether
Catholic demo -- yet he trails overall by three points?
Maybe it's a terrible partisan split,
you might think. Not so. It's D+3, which is completely reasonable.
These numbers don't quite add up, but they do suggest that while the
incumbent is in real trouble on substance, his challenger's style-points
struggles are real. To that end, one possible explanatory factor is
Romney taking a hit on personal favorability, a trend we also spotted in
the
battlegrounds poll earlier today. From the
Politico numbers:
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