Via WiscoDave
Posted by Survival Mom
A few weeks ago I had the oddest dream. In this dream, I was
at home when my husband walked in the door from work and said, “The
balloon’s gone up.” Immediately, my kids and I set about getting ready
to leave town. I remember feeling impressed because everyone seemed to
know exactly what to do.
Now, talk of balloons going up isn’t
part of my everyday vocabulary. I use it about as often as I scamper
from bush to bush, hiding from black helicopters. In fact, the first
time I heard the phrase, I had to look it up online.
“When
the balloon goes up” is a phrase used to imply impending trouble. This
relates to the use of observation balloons in the first World War. The
sight of such a balloon going up nearly always resulted in a barrage of
shells following soon after. The expression was reinforced during WW2
when the hoisting of barrage balloons was part of the preparations for
an air raid.
Often in survival type forums and blogs someone will use this phrase along with talk of, “getting out of Dodge.”
Obviously,
I’m in
favor of educating people to survive during all sorts of crises, but
sooner or later one has to wonder, “How will I know when, or if, it’s
time to gather my family together and get out of town?”
The answer?
“When the balloon goes up!”
And
that gets us right back to where we started. When does one know when
that balloon has gone up? How do we know when events have taken an
irrevocable turn for the worst and the only way to survive is to get as
far away from our current location as possible?
I think that’s the $40,000 question, really. Not, “What do I keep in my bug out bag?”
Rather
than try to come up with The Definitive Answer myself, I turned to
numerous friends and acquaintances in the survival and preparedness
niche and
asked them for help.
I received so many outstanding responses
from experts such as Claire Wolfe, James Rawles, Rob Hanus, and so many
more that it will take more than one blog post to include them all. As
you read their thoughtful answers, consider how these events might
unfold in your own community.
So, in answer to the question,
“How will I know when the balloon has gone up?”, or your own version of
that question, here are a few of the responses, with more to follow.
From Brian and Daron Payne of the P2E Emergency Preparedness Expo.
1. Empty shelves in grocery & hardware stores
2. Unexpected bank holidays/Run on ATM’
3. Large groups of looters
4. Loss of life due to the police and emergency services being overloaded
From Timothy French of Americans Networking to Survive (A.N.T.S.)
A.N.T.S
has an emergency plan that members can download. It has a section in it
which talks about bugging in and when it is time to bug out.
It
lists three threat levels and the signs you should look for. They are
the same for all disasters because in the end, breakdowns in society are
caused by a loss of utilities and supplies.
The signs are:
Level 1 – No danger – utilities are out – people are getting along
- OPSEC is low - neighbors working together.
Level 2- Some danger – utilities are out - people are getting very worried.
- OPSEC is medium, should try to band with neighbors to block off your street.
Level 3 – Dangerous – utilities are out – people are desperate
and looking for supplies.
- OPSEC is high – You should bug out or hide in place
So as you can see, your neighbors reactions to an event are
your best indicator, and picking up on those little signs before things
get bad will give you the advantage. Bugging out before things really
get bad will be a judgment call that each of us will have to make.
From Selco of SHTF School
Here are 5 first signs of coming collapse how I experienced it before war started. I’m sure it will be very similar again.
Symptom 1: More violence in your area
Symptom 2: Group behavior changes, survival brings people closer and makes others less human
Symptom 3: Dead streets
Symptom 4: New leaders emerge
Symptom 5:
Nobody to trust anymore
From James Rawles of Survival Blog
Five signals of an imminent social collapse:
1. Failure of any of the three American power grids, with no subsequent restoration of power within 72 hours.
2. A stock market collapse of 30% of more of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) in less than 10 days.
3. Simultaneous rioting in three or more major American cities.
4. News of an easily-transmissible influenza pandemic with a high lethality rate, and an outbreak anywhere in the U.S.
5.
Outbreak of war, with one or more targets hit in the Continental United
States by a major nation state, or multiple targets hit by a terrorist
group. (This would include use of nuclear, chemical, or biological
weapons.
From Randy Augsberger of The Prepared Christian
1) Warning from the Government or other authority
This
one is a no-brainer. As much as I hate to admit it, the government will
give us warning in some situations. Think Katrina. It would be a good
idea to pay attention to what the talking heads are saying. Just run it
through your filter and don’t disengage your brain. These can include
natural disasters and health issues like potential pandemics.
2) GMO crop failure
One
of the biggest dangers of a global catastrophe I see is a famine
induced by some bug (natural or man-made) attacking GMO crops. This will
play out in the future as more and more of our food supply is
controlled by Monsanto/ Government.
3) Talk of
making precious metals illegal for private ownership
Don’t
think this couldn’t happen? It happen once already in this country. If
for some economic reason, real or perceived, the government declares
precious metals illegal to own, there will be absolutely no hard
currency other than barter (they will probably try to outlaw that also).
4) Martial law declared anywhere in the U.S.
This
one is an alarm bell. Again, be sure to not disengage your brain. If
you can see (for yourself) a good reason for it, fine. But if it looks
like a government power grab, be ready.
5) Widespread violent rioting
One
or two cities in flame are not enough to get me too worried (unless I
lived in those cities). But imagine the occupy movement if it was done
with weapons and violence. We would be on the verge if not embroiled in a
civil
war.
If you follow most of that advice and wait for those signs it will be too late to react. The only way to handle a situation is to be prepared and educated to the threats and act with your gut. You might be wrong or right. You might look like a hero or a zero. Ultimately it comes down to your own instincts. Most of us who live in hurricane country understand storms and know how to read the situation and properly prepare and react. Unfortunately all shtf situations are not that easy to anticipate.
ReplyDeleteUnfortunately all shtf situations are not that easy to anticipate.
DeleteCertainly.
Anticipate? I hate to bread the bad news to you but the SHFT is here. Police going door to door in Chicago, Boston residence ordered from their homes at gun point, police roadblocks everywhere, Military helicopters like we are Viet Nam. The only difference is it hasn't been "enough" to force a push back. So far all the actions have been in States where the sheeple live and their on no guns, it's just practice, they are coming. You should already be on high alert and be hardening your position now.
ReplyDeleteMilitary helicopters like we are Viet Nam.
DeleteThat's where I go every time one goes over.