A
popular Twitter hashtag is #Trump2020Landslide. Is this wishful
thinking or a real possibility? Let’s look at the electoral landscape
over the next 9 months.
As
an initial caveat, understand the difference between confidence and
overconfidence. The former is a realistic expectation going forward of
favorable electoral winds based on a thoughtful analysis. The latter is
thoughtless and dangerous based on emotion and desire, rather than data
and realism.
Republicans learned this lesson during the George HW Bush presidency. Bush enjoyed an 89 percent Gallup
job approval in February 1991 after US victory in the Persian Gulf War.
A little over a year later the bottom fell out after Bush reneged on
his campaign promise, “Read my lips, no new taxes,” nudging the economy
into a recession.
In July 1992, his approval rating was an anemic 29
percent. Welcome, President Bill Clinton.
More @ American Thinker
No comments:
Post a Comment