Eric
Cantor and John Boehner's Kids Act amnesty might look compassionate,
but it is really a dam-breaker, the hardship of which would fall on
Americans, including their children. I think its results and precedents would essentially end any possibility of immigration control.
Nor would it gain
Republicans any votes (substantiated by at least two CIS studies.) To
the contrary, they would quickly be overwhelmed by the tidal wave of new
voters favoring big government health and welfare programs by about 75
percent.
The most immediate
result would be a drop off in Republican turnout. This was the
unanticipated result of a CIS study of the 2006 elections. Actually, it
should have been anticipated. Conservative disgust with liberal policies
is logical. The 2006 study did not demonstrate the degree except to say
that the drop off occurrence was substantiated statistically with at
least 95 percent confidence level. My own calculation using the same
data would indicate at least a 10 percent drop off in Republican
turnout, for example: falling from 50 percent to 45 percent . It would
be higher if voters knew more about immigration issues and could
associate them with candidates. Keeping the loss to 10 percent assumes
that voters continue to remain in a low-information status on
immigration. That would be disaster enough. But if many Republicans
become aware that the whole amnesty is a corrupt bargain to maintain and
increase cheap labor profits, it could be analogous to Napoleon
marching an army of 600,000 to Moscow in winter.
One Republican problem
seems to be the DC/PC intellectual straight-jacket that compels
Republican consultants and staffers to assume that the liberal Eastern
media is the Republican constituency.
"The people of Asia (western Turkey) are slaves because they could not learn to pronounce he word "no."--Alexander the Great
"Whoever the gods wish to destroy, they first make mad."--from an ancient Greek play.
Piece @ CIS
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