As my friend said, I'll believe it when I see it. :) Would be fun though.
You may ask .."how often does Eastern North Carolina see a
foot of snow? ..." And statistically it's happens very rarely. But
statistically hurricane Sandy never makes a sharp left hand turn into
the New Jersey Coast. In fact that had never happened before. Until it
did. Statistically Katrina never happens in New Orleans.
Statistically Moore OK should NOT see 2 EF5 tornadoes in the same
season. But it did. Statistically Washington, DC and Baltimore should
not see two back to back blizzards five days apart in the winter of
2009-10 . But it did My Point here is that if one simply simply
hides behind statistics you will always get the easy forecast correct .
It's easy to predict sunny and 75 in the month of MAY and it's really
hard to get that wrong.But if you base your forecast or perspective on statistics and probabilities you will also always ...and I mean always screw up the serious weather forecast forecast whether it's a blizzard or an ice storm ... a heat wave or a major hurricane making landfall .
More @ WX Risk
Global Warming!
ReplyDeleteThat's it! :)
DeleteNow the government is playing catch up and calling for 4 to 8 inches for Eastern North Carolina including the beach/sound areas.
DeleteI hope it snows and we can build a snowman!
ReplyDeleteIt's 3 to 6 now, but we're going to get more than Tarboro! :)
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