The fact that the United Kingdom has voted to peacefully secede from the European Union, which brings with it the possibility that Scotland might hold a second vote on seceding from the UK, has changed overnight the political landscape of secessionist movements all over the world.
It just so happened that the result of the BREXIT vote came in late at night on the eve of the 2016 League of the South National Conference. I’ve been wrapped up for days now and haven’t had the chance to fully digest the news. The BREXIT vote couldn’t have come at a better time in light of the renewed debate we have been having over violence and vanguardists. After this, it is safe to say that for now the mainstreamers, or “the moderates” as we are derisively called, have decisively won the argument.
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- Brexit is a true black swan. Nobody in the
mainstream, including the Leave camp, saw it coming. Even now, based on
the analysis being written, few people understand why it won. Why did
it win? The cosmopolitan, financialized elites saw their incomes grow
with globalization, but the deals they struck to "earn" those gains
required throwing the bottom 60-70% of the country under the economic
bus. In fact, nearly all of the fast rise out of poverty seen globally
was achieved by economically damaging the working populations of the
developed world (particularly in the US and the UK). That lopsided deal
is a bomb of anger that has been growing for years. A bomb that is now
going off in the US and the UK. Strangely, nobody in the establishment
is willing to do what is necessary to defuse this bomb. This means it
will get much worse before it gets better.
- The response to Brexit will damage nation-state legitimacy. Efforts to ignore the vote, delay the effects of the vote, and water down the effects of the vote will achieve only one thing: it will show that the remote technocrats have more legitimacy than the vestiges of democracy that are left.