Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Is There Silent Trump Support That Pollsters Are Missing?

Some have suggested that Donald Trump has hidden support among voters who are unwilling to say publicly where they stand because they’re fearful of criticism. We won’t know for sure until Election Day, but Republicans are clearly more reluctant than Democrats this year to say how they are going to vote.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 17% of Likely Republican Voters are less likely this year to let others know how they intend to vote compared to previous presidential campaigns. Just 10% of Likely Democratic Voters say they are less likely to tell.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 25% say they are less likely this year to say publicly which presidential candidate they will vote. Unaffiliateds have leaned in Trump’s direction in recent weeks in our White House Watch survey but also have been the biggest supporters of Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Clinton and Trump have been running nearly even in our surveys for weeks.  When either of them takes a lead, it’s generally been within our +/- 3 percentage point margin of error.

More @ Rasmussen


  1. No one can say if it will translate into other states or into the general election but it is interesting to note that in yesterday's Florida primary just over 300,000 more voters cast ballots in the Republican contests than did in the Democrat ones. That's a pretty significant number, especially in a state known for very low percentage splits.

    Somehow I don't think Hillary is the only one needing to change their Depend® diapers. I'd bet they are stocking up on laundry freshener and cases of Fabreeze®.

    This election justs gets more delicious by the week!

    1. This election just gets more delicious by the week!

      Yes and I'm still not discounting Trump in a landslide.

    2. The only ones who are try to are the MSM and the blind Hillbots.

    3. I'll settle for an one voter victory. :)